Memphis, Tenn. – As we settle into fall, it seems Mother Nature is gearing up for some action in the tropics! This morning, the National Hurricane Center announced that a disturbance in the Western Caribbean Sea has been labeled as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine (PTC9). And guess what? It looks like we might be greeting a new member of the storm family shortly, as this disturbance is expected to become a named storm tomorrow, likely earning the name Tropical Storm Helene.
So, what can we expect from Helene? Well, current forecasts suggest that Helene will track to the north and eventually make its way into the Gulf of Mexico. As it moves over the warm waters of the Gulf, we might see it pick up some strength quite rapidly. This tropical system is projected to evolve into a hurricane as it continues its north-northeast trajectory.
To give you some perspective, a category three hurricane has sustained winds ranging from 111 mph to 129 mph. That’s serious wind! Just a little reminder: category three, four, and five hurricanes are classified as ‘major’ hurricanes, so Helene could definitely make an impact.
When we talk about landfall, it’s interesting to note that forecasts have remained fairly consistent. The most likely place for Helene to come ashore appears to be the Big Bend of Florida. However, it’s important to point out that there have been slight adjustments eastward in recent predictions, so we’ll need to keep a keen eye on how that develops.
For everyone in and around Memphis, here’s the scoop: Helene is expected to make its closest pass this weekend. While the exact path is still uncertain, predictions indicate that it might swing back to the northwest and potentially travel over parts of Tennessee. According to several forecasting models, affectionately known as spaghetti plots, there is a decent agreement that Helene may move near Chattanooga before making its way to Nashville during the weekend.
What does this mean for us? We could see some bands of rain making their way into the Mid-South by the end of the work week. If you’re in the area, keep those umbrellas handy, as we might experience some heavier rainfall starting this Friday and rolling through early next week.
With changing weather conditions, it’s always good to stay informed. Make sure to keep an eye on updates from the weather team, as they will provide timely alerts and guidance regarding Helene’s progress. The forecast is still in flux, but by staying alert, we can all make sure we’re prepared for whatever comes our way.
In conclusion, as we navigate this potential storm, let’s work together to keep the Mid-South community safe. Stay tuned, stay dry, and let’s keep those positive vibes flowing as we approach the weekend!
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